Hes played well at Bay Hill the last two years, but he was in much better lead-in form. Lee +6500Rickie Fowler +6500Jason Day +8000Wyndham Clark +8000Joel Dahmen +8000Harris English +8000Chris Kirk +8000Taylor Pendrith +8500Justin Rose +8500Patrick Rodgers +9500Christiaan Bezuidenhout +9500Davis Riley +9500Thomas Detry +9500Denny McCarthy +9500Keith Mitchell +10000Will Gordon +10000David Lipsky +10000Sebastian Munoz +11000Brendan Steele +11000Martin Laird +12000Brendon Todd +12000Luke List +12000Dean Burmester +12000Emiliano Grillo +12000Ben Griffin +12000Stephan Jaeger +12000Alex Smalley +12000Aaron Rai +14000Russell Knox +14000Lee Hodges +14000Jhonattan Vegas +16000Nick Taylor +16000Greyson Sigg +16000Taylor Moore +16000Patton Kizzire +16000Sam Ryder +16000Mark Hubbard +16000Danny Willett +16000Nate Lashley +16000Robby Shelton +17000S.H. It will play long at more than 7,400 yards, and thick rough off the fairways and around the greens will provide a true test. 2023 Sony Open First Round Leader Picks: Can J.T. Before locking in any Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks of your own,be sure to check out the PGA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine golf expert Mike McClure. The final round will be played on PGA West's Stadium Course after a 54-hole cut. Schauffele (19-1), Zalatoris (19-1) and Tom Kim (20-1) also are top choices, while Si Woo Kim is priced at 29-1 at Caesars. Though playing from the fairway is important, the course regression model at RickRunGood.com indicates that clubhead speed is more indicative of successonly six other courses were more correlated to success last year. Lee (DraftKings) There are exciting things happening with Days game right now, primarily his significant improvement on approach shots. Hes playing well, with three straight top-25 finishes while peppering in three top-10 finishes within his last nine starts. Which overlooked golfer could pull off a victory that would pay off at more than 60-1? If you or someone you know wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Jon Rahm Now Heavy Favorite at Arnold Palmer Invitational After Strong First Round, Arnold Palmer Invitational Bets: Bettor in For Wild Pay Day if Scottie Scheffler Repeats, Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Odds & Trends: Bettors Loving Will Zalatoris, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Longshot Bets: Keith Mitchell Scorching Hot, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational One and Done Picks: It May Be Collin Morikawa Time. Kevin Yu ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,600 FanDuel) Andy Lyons No matter the finishing position, you can He got his first career victory less than a month later and finished the season with four. Weekly Cheatsheets: If you are already an Awesemo.com frequent visitor, you know about these quick hitter cheatsheets that give you some ideas on who to play each week. Detry certainly seems to be building toward something big. Jhonattan Vegas ($8,600 DraftKings | $10,100 FanDuel). Brent Grant ($6,400 DraftKings | $7,600 FanDuel). Hes combining solid approach play with a hot putter to throw his name into the mix more consistently. Im is clearly the class of this field, and hes a past champion for good reason. The Scotsman ranks seventh in the field this week for Opportunities Gained over the last two months and this is the exact style of course where Knox can start taking these opportunities. These DFS Golf cheat sheets will help you, The West Coast swing is already at an end as the PGA Tour moves to its seventh event of the season. I worry about him losing five strokes on the putting surfaces, but his clubhead speed and newfound confidence can be a difference-maker this week. Jon Rahm +550Patrick Cantlay +950Scottie Scheffler +1100Tony Finau +1500Xander Schauffele +1900Will Zalatoris +1900Tom Kim +2000Sungjae Im +2100Cameron Young +2100Sam Burns +2900Si Woo Kim +2900Brian Harman +3400Aaron Wise +4200Tom Hoge +4200Taylor Montgomery +4500Cameron Davis +4800J.T. Stop Guessing and Start Winning! I like the consistency of Rai here in a matchup as a slight favorite. One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125). Poston in its best bets to win the 2022 John Deere Classic. Rounds 2 and 4: Alternate shot. Accuracy and irons can most definitely prevail at Mayakoba as long as you make a few putts, and Grillo has actually gained with the putter in eight of his past nine starts; good for five top 10s over that stretch. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. Hes proving to be a well-rounded golfer with plenty of room for growth. 1 Jon Rahm is looking for his fourth win of 2023. Combine that with a wild driver, and Spieth will likely be playing out of the thick rough often at Bay Hill, narrowing his path to the top of the leaderboard. TPC Scottsdale 3. Hes gaining a staggering 3.25 strokes per round over his past 36 rounds, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. And which sleepers could set you up for a potentially huge payday? , I always thought the wrap-around-a-lake par-5 sixth was Dick Wilson's version of Robert Trent Jones's decade-older 13th at The Dunes Club at Myrtle Beach. Luke List Anytime (every time?) Released Monday night/Tuesday Morning. Hes gained strokes with the flatstick in six of his last seven measured events. Against the Grain: A look at this weeks projected ownership from Jason Rouslin, and some against the grain plays to help provide variance in your GPP lineups. Yes, hes first in SG/total. 2023 Honda Classic Best Bets & Predictions: Fade Matt Kuchar? 13 in the , he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. Will Zalatoris ($9,400 DraftKings | $10,900 FanDuel). USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Hes very inconsistent and has struggled putting all four rounds together, but you can see hes growing and getting more comfortable on the PGA Tour. 2 Scottie Scheffler, Patrick Cantlay and Jon Rahm among the top names. CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. The American Express 2023 will run over three courses, but all are similar -- short and featuring few hazards. Welcome to the PGA DFS Page for Stokastic, home to the worlds No. His game can clearly travel and his upside is immense. From tee-to-green hes elite and now hes making massive gains with his putter. He shot better than 71 once in the six rounds. RELATED:10 golfers who will make you money in the 2022-23 PGA Tour season. His success at this prompted FanShare Sports to enlist him as a guest writer, which evolved into him writing the weekly Under The Radar article. Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. His last two starts have resulted in a T-11 and T-8, so clearly something is brewing for Day right now. Si Woo Kim, fresh off his Sony Open victory last week, also will compete, alongside the likes of Xander Schauffele, Will Zalatoris and Tom Kim. It should be a birdie-fest this week when several of the world's top golfers descend on La Quinta, Calif. for the PGA Tour's 2023 American Express. Jon Rahm ($11,500 DraftKings | $12,200 FanDuel). One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125). Hennessey, Golf Digest: Thomas Detry (40-1, DraftKings) Im surprised were still getting 40-1 on Detry after his run of really good golf. Sleeper Picks: Arnold Palmer Invitational - pgatour.com https://golfweek.usatoday.com/lists/2022-zurich-classic-odds-field-pga-tour-bets-picks/, Mexico, Caribbean, Atlantic islands, Central America, Top 50 Classic Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Top 50 Modern Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. If he can just make a few putts, which is conceivable on the slow, paspalum greens, his irons and accuracy should have him hoisting a novelty check. Hes been much improved with the flatstick, gaining strokes in nine of 14 starts. Recent form, plus some strong vibes at El Camaleon, have me leaning with him over the Bermuda champ. (Photo: Erich Schlegel-USA TODAY Sports). The pair of Cameron Smith and Marc Leishman enter as the defending champions, while the betting favorites are Viktor Hovland and Collin Morikawa (+600). Strokes gained/approach is also incredibly valuableagain, only six other courses were more correlated to success. RELATED:LIV Golf loses ratings battle to Worlds Funniest Animals? Poston Repeat Last Years First-Round Heater? Morikawa is going to contend often this season with this stat profile. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for , where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. He came to Golf Digests betting panel after previously writing for , the Score and GolfWRX. He gained 8.42 strokes putting at the Honda Classic. This week, the PGA Tour is in Detroit for the Rocket Mortgage Classic at Detroit Golf Club, a track designed by Donald Ross. How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. On paper, El Camaleon should be an excellent course for him except its been horrible there. His stat profile is full of inconsistency, and his inaccuracy off-the-tee could lead to big numbers in Florida this week. That will undoubtedly change soon, but Im not ready to bet on it at single-digit odds. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA DFS Targets: Is Rory McIlroy Too Chalky? Heading into this week's tournament, the 35-year-old ranks first on the PGA Tour in total strokes gained (1.957), 11th in strokes gained tee-to-green (1.307), 21st in strokes gained on approach (0.677), and 26th in strokes gained putting (0.650). And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! The PGA Tour begins the Florida swing this week with the Honda Classic, which will once again play at PGA National (par 70, 7,125 yards, The PGA Tour continues this week with the first stop on the Florida swing and the Honda Classic. Sanderson Farms Championship: Sam Burns. 2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am First Round Leader Picks: Does Matthew NeSmith Still Own Pebble Beach? McDonald takes a measured approach to his outright selections and is having a profitable 2022-23 season. The only thing thats held him back is the flat stick, which weve seen him flip on a dime and win tournaments before. The 26-year-old hasn't been great in this event the past two years, but he did finish third in 2020. Caddie: Aaron Wise (+220, Bet365) Wise has gone 10th, MC, second and 15th in his last four trips to Mayakoba, and hes coming off his third top-15 finish in his last four starts. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Jon Rahm (+550, FanDuel) Ill take the easy pick with Rahm this week. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Arnold Palmer Invitational DFS picks 2023: Rory McIlroy's staggering advanced metrics, Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge: Challenger/Champion. Odds provided byTipico Sportsbook; accessUSA TODAY Sports betting oddsfor a full list. Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 props, odds, field: Expert head-to The guy has kept the hot streak going in casual rounds, as our guy Doug Smith can attest to, and so I think this is the perfect, low-key field for Finau to add yet another W. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest assistant editor: Tom Hoge (30-1, DraftKings) Hoge is absolutely tearing it up this Fall, finishing T-13 or better in all four starts hes made. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Kevin Streelman (+900, Bet365) The off-the-tee and approach numbers are top 15 in this field over the past 24 rounds, per Fantasy National, so Streelman should give himself plenty of chances. Picks Hennessey: Viktor Hovland An easy case to make to roll with the two-time defending champ. Golf Odds, Picks And Props: 2023 Arnold Palmer Now, McDonald has studied the 2023 The American Express field and has locked in his best bets, top sleepers and favorites to avoid. Torrey Pines South 5. Toss in four par 5s and scoring conditions during which par will feel like a red number, and it wont matter much that his putting unlikely will impress. Justin Thomas ($9,600 DraftKings | $11,300 FanDuel). So what 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop picks should you target this week? Morikawa is fresh off a T-6 at Riviera where he gained 8.25 strokes from tee-to-green, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. And for a guy whos been batting about .500 for four seasons, its notable that hes 7-for-11 this season with a T25 at Torrey Pines and a T29 at Riviera. Now hell head to Bay Hill with little experience to bank on. Like the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play, the annual trip to New Orleans is a great change of pace. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. Bermuda: Mark Hubbard. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Thomas Detry (40-1, DraftKings) Detry will be coming into this event brimming with confidence after his runner-up finish last week. Caves Valley Golf Club, 2. What 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop bets should you target? This site is strictly intended for adults (18+) Now he heads back to Bay Hill, where he has dominated in his careerhe has gained a staggering 74.68 strokes to the field across eight starts, or just over 9.3 strokes per event, which includes a win in 2018 and six other top-15s. Our experts are torn. The putting woes continued for Spieth, who lost three strokes to the field in just two rounds at Riviera before missing the cut. With winds projected to gust, a couple of confident sharpshooters will surprise despite the length of the track. Collin Morikawa ($9,500 DraftKings | $11,400 FanDuel). 2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship Sleepers: How to Bet Hideki Matsuyama, Corey Conners & Matt Kuchar, Join Stokastic Plus and Team with the #1 DFS Player, 2023 Honda Classic DFS Picks & Core Plays: Jhonattan Vegas Has Value, 2023 Honda Classic PGA DFS Targets: Christiaan Bezuidenhout the Ultimate Boom/Bust Play, PGA DFS Optimizer Picks Honda Classic: Shane Lowry One of Few High-End Options in Limited Field. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Weather Report: Conditions to Affect Play? Course Fit(compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes such as driving distance to predict who performs well at each course DataGolf): 1. We run 1000s simulations for every PGA Tour event to predict the most likely outcomes and find value against the sportsbooks. 7:52 am ET, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald, You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McDonald's PGA picks and analysis, You can see who he is backing this week at The American Express 2023 at SportsLine, You can find out who it is, and see the rest of McDonald's American Express picks, predictions, and best bets at SportsLine, visit SportsLine to see Patrick McDonald's top prop picks for The American Express 2023, all from the expert who is up almost $700 on his PGA Tour picks this season, See full The American Express 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here, Spieth among many chasing at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to not play Players Championship, WATCH: Viktor Hovland drains ace at Arnold Palmer, How to watch 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Report: Pebble Beach will be designated event in 2024, Rahm leads (again) at Bay Hill after Round 1, 2023 American Express odds, field, expert picks, bets, Spieth among chasers at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to skip 2023 Players Championship, Report: PGA Tour to reduce fields of designated events, Kirk breaks 8-year drought with emotional Honda win. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Tony Finau (18-1, BetMGM) Finau has yet to make his 2023 season debut, but dont allow yourself to forget how he finished last season. He tied for 25th in 2022, and he has been a different player since then. Rileys constant is as a stripe show on approach, so our speculation relies on a hot putter to disrupt. The main feature at PGA National (and most Florida courses) is water! Like golf? section: | slug: arnold-palmer-invitational-2023-props-odds-field-expert-head-to-head-golf-matchup-picks-pga-best-bets | sport: golf | route: article_single.us | Still, he hasn't played in this tournament since 2017 and has missed the cut both previous times in La Quinta. In addition, McClure's best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks: Expert picks, best bets for Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Homa and Gooch are great friends off the golf course, and that can help throughout the week. Anyone who backs one of his 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational sleepers could hit it big. Rai is one of the worst Bermudagrass putters in the field, and hes lost strokes on approach in four of his past five starts. Now, McClure has set his sights on the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational field and just revealed his top PGA prop bets. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. 1:10 am ET, be sure to check out the PGA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine golf expert Mike McClure, You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McClure's 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational prop picks, sleepers, head-to-head matchups, best bets, and his top one and done pick, You can see the rest of McClure's Arnold Palmer Invitational prop bet picks at SportsLine, You can only see his Arnold Palmer Invitational best bets at SportsLine, Visit SportsLine to see McClure's 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational best bets, all from the expert who's up over $9,600 since the PGA Tour restart, See the full Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here, Spieth among many chasing at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to not play Players Championship, WATCH: Viktor Hovland drains ace at Arnold Palmer, How to watch 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, Report: Pebble Beach will be designated event in 2024, Rahm leads (again) at Bay Hill after Round 1, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational props, expert picks, Spieth among chasers at Arnold Palmer Invitational, Tiger Woods opts to skip 2023 Players Championship, Report: PGA Tour to reduce fields of designated events, Kirk breaks 8-year drought with emotional Honda win. Cantlay/Schauffele (8.9 percent), 2. Sam Ryder ($7,000 DraftKings | $8,300 FanDuel). Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. Hovland on the other hand comes into this event looking to complete the hat trick of wins here in the space of three years. Scottie Scheffler could be among the top daily Fantasy golf picks this week for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. Golf Picks & Predictions This Week | Dimers 1 ranking to Rory McIlroy, but he has not really been himself since Sunday at East Lake. Rory McIlroy, No. Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2022 Worldwide Technology Championship. picks

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