No products in the cart. They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. The data behind that evolution is striking. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. 0:00:00 Galen Druke discusses the context of these laws with Theodore Johnson, the Director of the Fellows Program at the Brennan Center for Justice. FiveThirtyEight Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. Their recent data-driven post-mortem of the Latino vote in 2020 looks at which voters were likeliest to favor Trump and offers some hypotheses as to why. They also discuss how incumbents have been faring overall in this midterms primaries. Happy holidays! Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. Then the crew explains why they consider four competitive U.S. House districts to be bellwether elections for which party will win control of the House. But that doesnt stop us from talking about what we do know: that Republicans didnt make major gains in the Senate, and that the polls were pretty good this cycle. Nate Silver and Galen Druke open the mailbag and answer listener questions, including how much it would cost to "fix polling" and why Vice President Harris is polling less favorably than President Biden. The FBI released nationwide crime numbers from 2020 this week that will likely contribute to the already tense political debate over crime and policing. Joining the podcast are Andra Gillespie, political science professor at Emory University, Besheer Mohamed, senior researcher at Pew Research Center, and Stacey Holman, the director of PBSs recent documentary series The Black Church.". The crew discusses why the country responded to the attacks the way it did and how healthy American democracy is today. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what hes learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. Nate Silver's. As the broader electorate shifted left in 2020, compared to 2016, Latino voters shifted 8 percentage points to the right. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. With the benefit of hindsight and some time to breathe, Galen Druke reflects on key moments of the 2020 race with the authors of the new book, Lucky: How Joe Biden Barely Won The Presidency. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and game-changers every week. 91.5 Chapel Hill 88.9 Manteo 90.9 Rocky Mount 91.1 Welcome 91.9 Fayetteville 90.5 Buxton 94.1 Lumberton 99.9 Southern Pines They also analyze a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows the states likely GOP primary voters favoring Florida Gov. Serial's new true-crime podcast, The Coldest Case in Laramie, revisits a 1985 murder. Release date: 24 June 2015 Show more The crew discusses the arguments Biden laid out and where he stands with American voters two years into his presidency. The crew debates why politicians break with their parties in high-profile ways and what the repercussions can be. Democrat Melanie Stansbury won a special election in New Mexico's first congressional district by a 25-point margin last Tuesday, performing better than Democrats did in the district in 2020. The recall effort ultimately failed by a sizable margin. Today those numbers have flipped. Tester faces a tough bid, but don't sleep on Brown being the weaker of the two. Hello and welcome to the identity politics podcast I'm deal injury work. James Acton is a physicist and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. . - In her first-ever diary entry, recorded eight days after President John F. Kennedy is assassinated, Lady Bird presents a dramatic, cinematically detailed moment-by-moment account of those terrible hours in Dallas, and the days that follow. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what he's learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. Science reporter Maggie Koerth also joins to talk about shifting attitudes on climate change among Republicans. Galen and Nate open the mailbag to answer listeners questions about politics, polling and more. Instagram did not return a 200. The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. . 450 episodes. From 2008 to 2019, the percentage of people who said they got their news from local papers fell by more than half. With two new hosts, Anjali and Prateek, the second season of The Big Story will feature longer and well-rounded discussions with experts across science, culture, technology, politics, and more. Thats Changing. Later, Monica Potts joins to discuss why voters sometimes contradict their partisan beliefs on ballot measures. We look at two of this weeks biggest stories -- the killing of Daunte Wright in Minnesota and the U.S. Food and Drug Administrations decision to pause the use of the Johnson and Johnson covid-19 vaccine. The crew breaks down Rep. Liz Cheney's loss, what comes next, and who's currently up and down in Alaska. In Kim Barker's memory, the city of Laramie . The crew analyzes new polling suggesting Americans support enforcing a no-fly zone over Ukraine and banning the purchase of Russian oil even if it increases gas prices. Galen Druke and Perry Bacon Jr. speak with political scientist and pastor, Ryan Burge, about how declining American religiosity is shaping our society and politics. All rights reserved. What does it take to make democracy work? They also discuss recent polling showing that President Biden has disproportionately lost support among traditionally Democratic voting groups. Make sure you select the language your Podcast episode is recorded in when uploading your audio. On todays Politics Podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19, and the midterms. The Supreme Court heard oral arguments on Wednesday in one of the highest profile cases of the term. They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. Galen speaks with him. The full series is available now on Apple Podcasts (https://apple.co/2QQw8e9), Spotify (https://spoti.fi/3ukYgoq), or wherever you listen by searching "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson." At the beginning of the millennium, about two-thirds of Americans opposed same-sex marriage, and a third supported it. June 2, 2016. Technology and politics reporter Kaleigh Rogers discusses the influence of conspiracy theories on the events that led to the Jan. 6th riot, why people believe in conspiracy theories in the first place, and what it means for the future of American politics. Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. The crew previews Californias primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the Democratic Party. On Thursday, the Supreme Court wrapped up its first term with a 6-3 conservative majority on the bench. The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. 3 min read. Zach and ESPN's Michael Schwartz break down the red-hot Suns ahead of their showdown with the Warriors, then ESPN's Dave McMenamin checks in on the Lakers -- plus . My mid-week morning train WFH reads: The SPAC Fad Is Ending in a Pile of Bankruptcies and Fire Sales: At least eight businesses that went public through mergers with "blank-check" companies have sought protection from creditors. Mona Chalabi of FiveThirtyEight.com joins NPR's Rachel Martin for a look at who those people are. The crew discusses how the other nine Republicans are faring in their bids to win reelection and debate whether CNNs new polling methodology is a good or bad use of polling. Election Day in Georgia is just a week away, so the crew shook off their turkey hangover to talk about what to expect in Georgias second Senate runoff in two years. The crew discusses what Cuomo's political future might hold and how New Yorkers are reacting to sexual harassment allegations. Galen Druke speaks with the founders of the political research firm Equis Research, Stephanie Valencia and Carlos Odio. He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. The crew discusses how much the two parties are spending on campaign ads and if it could factor into the forecasts shift. They also take stock of how Americans are thinking about climate change and government initiatives to stem carbon emissions, after President Biden announced a goal of cutting U.S. emissions to half their 2005 levels by 2030. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. They also debate how reliable exit polls are in determining what motivates voters and consider how Democrats were able to overcome intra-party disagreements to pass a $1 trillion infrastructure bill. Then the team debates if a surge of women registering to vote in June could be linked to the Supreme Courts recent abortion decision. Lastly, the team analyzes how the educational divide is shaping American politics. Ron DeSantis over Trump for the 2024 GOP presidential primary. The crew talks about the threat of a government shutdown and debt default, as well as how likely it is that Democrats get their legislative priorities passed. Texas has been in a dire situation this week. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19 The Ticket - A Presidential Podcast comes from the Texas Tribune. Commentators and politicos have given lots of hot takes on why Democrats did so poorly in Tuesday's election and what it portends for the 2022 midterms. The crew breaks down the results of the June 7 primaries. 9 days ago. The crew looks to the speeches from the past weekend's Conservative Political Action Conference for indications about where the Republican party is headed. File Upload. And what does Florida's new voting law tell us about the GOP's efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the party's larger motivations? Good Sport TED Audio Collective Sports Requires subscription and macOS 11.4 or higher 28 FEB 2023 Most recently, he ran and hosted 30 for 30 Podcasts, part of ESPN Films. Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. Maybe its time to get rid of election polls. President Bidens $2 trillion social spending and climate change agenda is in its most tenuous position yet after West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin announced that he will not support the Build Back Better Plan. Good Contents Are Everywhere, But Here, We Deliver The Best of The Best.Please Hold on! They also look ahead to how the Department of Justice will navigate the complexities of deciding whether to bring charges against Trump and how a Republican majority in the House could respond. In this installment of Model Talk on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke are joined by two climate modelers and authors of the latest IPCC report, Friederike Otto and Baylor Fox-Kemper. Nate Silver is back from his book research/poker trip to Las Vegas, and in this installment, he sits down with Galen Druke to answer listener questions and talk about what he learned on the strip. Galen Druke speaks with the director of the Harvard study, Robert Waldinger, about the lessons his findings have for politics in America. Pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson joins the crew to discuss a new survey that categorizes voters into at least four ideological quadrants and tries to imagine how voters would align if America were a multi-party democracy. They also scrutinize a new survey that suggests most Americans think "The West Wing" and other political TV shows are reflective of how politics works. The cofounders of Equis Research -- a political data firm focused on Latino voters -- share their research on why that swing happened. They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. 01:00 PM. The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. The crew discusses why the number of independents has been growing and what it means for American politics. We speak with the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, Patrick Murray, who wrote an article titled I blew it. Were still waiting to find out what the deal is, but this focus on slow moving objects in U.S. airspace was kicked off by a Chinese spy balloon that the U.S. shot down earlier this month. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. The crew asks why Queen Elizabeth II's passing has received such intense global press coverage. Democrats overperformed in two special elections on Tuesday, including a win in New York's 19th district, which is four points more Republican than the national partisan lean, according to FiveThirtyEights metric. The crew breaks down a poll that asked Americans to identify from good to evil and lawful to chaotic on the Dungeons and Dragons alignment chart. The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. A lack of those relationships can actually have an impact on political behavior and interest in extreme ideologies. Five Thirty-Eight sometimes referred to as 538, focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging. We continue our conversation about challenges to democracy in America by talking with Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. They also address a listener question that suggests Republicans achieve their policy goals more often than Democrats. They also ask whether we should be skeptical of polls showing Democrats performing well in parts of the Midwest where polls have repeatedly underestimated Republicans. Galen and Nate discuss the reasons for Republicans' improvement in the forecast. It's a big election week for liberal democracies. The crew discusses how the Supreme Court may change once Breyer a more moderate Justice among the Liberals retires. In this installment, Robert Crews, a History professor from Stanford University, joins to reflect on the history of the Taliban and the current political landscape in Afghanistan. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, The crew discusses how Americans are feeling about COVID-19 and what types of restrictions they do and don't support after almost two years. The team looks at the popularity of the Democrats' COVID relief plan and how both Democrats and Republicans are thinking about its provisions. The crew digs into why Democrats underperformed in a special election in Texas. By our estimates, the Democrat is on track to win by 45 points, compared to 30 points in '22 and 36 points in '20. twitter. Nevada Democrats introduced a bill on Monday that would change their state's presidential nominating contest from a caucus to a primary and also dislodge New Hampshire from its position as the first primary in the nation. The crew puts Georgia's new voting laws in context and discusses the challenges facing the Biden administration on immigration policy in the short and long term. NEW TOWN . In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers across American markets and society on the whole. FiveThirtyEight Politics on Apple Podcasts 200 episodes FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News News 4.5 19.2K Ratings FEB 21, 2023 What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection It's a busy week! They also discuss the latest developments in the current round of redistricting. So, the usual. OPEC+ announced its cutting oil production by 2 million barrels a day, President Biden is talking about the threat of nuclear Armageddon and shoes keep dropping in the Georgia Senate race. The crew discusses the role of the debt ceiling in politics, why it exists in the first place, and the chances of it being abolished altogether. They also address concerns that the 2020 Census resulted in an undercount of Latinos. The first half of this episode originally aired on November 5, 2018, and was produced by Dan Pashman, Anne Saini, and Aviva DeKornfeld, with editing by Gianna Palmer and mixing by Dan Dzula. Tyler's intense research leads to stimulating and surprising . The crew looks at the issues that have shaped the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races and rounds up some of the other local races and ballot measures around the country. The crew debates whether the Democratic Party really is actually in disarray as it struggles to pass legislation and faces a difficult midterm year, or if its hurdles are usual for any party in power. podcast transcripts and podcast transcription services. Its generally considered to be one of the most comprehensive pictures of trends within the electorate. COVID-19 has pushed Americans into more uncertain territory than most have ever known. Over the weekend, the White House announced that five more classified documents from the Obama administration were found at President Biden's Delaware home. Dec. 7, 2017 | Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS 03 / Black Representation In North Carolina The debate over how districts should be drawn to ensure that minority voters are represented in Congress. They also consider whether a new poll showing that America's reputation has rebounded abroad is a good or bad use of polling. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, but its not the only one. The crew also takes a look at the changes to election law that Republicans have proposed in Georgia and other states after Trump's loss in 2020. Transcript for What if America had a lot more political parties? Thirty-six governors seats are up for election this fall and the crew looks at some where full control of state government might be decided by the governors race. They also preview next week's mayoral election in Chicago and ask whether a new poll of Arizona's 2024 Senate race is actually telling us anything useful. They also ask whether it's too early to conclude that the leak of a draft Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe has had little impact on the political environment. They also discuss shifting American views on foreign policy and the status of the infrastructure and budget bills currently being considered in the Senate. The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. This week Nikki Haley became the first major candidate to challenge former President Donald Trump in the 2024 Republican presidential primary. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless', Politics Podcast: How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear, Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine. The crew discusses what we've learned from President Biden's first 100 days in office and from his first address to a joint session of Congress. The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. What happens when a former president is facing all kinds of legal liability on the federal and local level, but is also still the de facto party leader and considering another run for the White House? In this installment of Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the news events and polling that have contributed to that change. In the first "Model Talk" episode of the 2022 midterms cycle, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the factors behind that forecast. FiveThirtyEight Politics Biden Is Set To Be The Next President 2020-11-07 The crew reacts to the news that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are the projected winners of the 2020 election. They also analyze a new poll from YouGov that breaks down why 78 percent of Americans say they have changed their mind on one or more political issue over the course of their lives. They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. They also discuss the recent trend in Senate candidates refusing to debate each other and why Republicans can't agree on what abortion restrictions to pass. Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy 240 views It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. fivethirtyeight podcast transcriptsapplications of stepper motor ppt. The crew discusses what legal debates are currently playing out, what the decision could mean for the future of Roe v. Wade, and where Americans stand on abortion restrictions in general. We hear from two people involved in the progressive movement in New York City about their thoughts on whats happening in the race and how progressivism is shaping politics more broadly. In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. The Negro League Stars That MLB Kept Out And Is Finally Recognizing. Republican Mayra Flores won the special election in Texass 34th congressional district on Tuesday, avoiding a runoff and flipping the longtime Democratic seat in Texass Rio Grande Valley. What do we know, how confidently do we know it and what do we know we dont know? Bot Love was created by Diego Senior. The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the House most often. Galen Druke speaks with political science professors Sunshine Hillygus and Patrick Eagan about the history of wedge issues and how they shape U.S. politics. We speak with journalist Sasha Issenberg about how that happened. President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided Congress. The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. In the main event, former light The crew looks at how some of the most competitive primaries in 2022 are shaping up. Cuomo denied the allegations, but has faced overwhelming pressure to resign from fellow Democrats, including President Joe Biden. These articles reported facts without employing biased word choice, slant, or other types of media bias . In the 2020 election cycle, Georgia found itself at the center of the American political universe. It's a busy week! They also ask why support for gun control measures hasn't translated into new laws and look at steps the Pew Research Center is taking to ensure they have a representative sample of Republicans in their panel surveys. Senior writer and legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discusses how the Justices approached the question and what Americans think about abortion policy.

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