Electoral votes invalidated. Update: Philadelphia officials tell me they will report more mail-in ballot results betweenmidnight and 1 a.m. Polarization is more evident on a county scale with the growing percentage of the U.S. electorate living in "landslide counties", counties where the popular vote margin between the Democratic and Republican candidate is 20 percentage points or greater. Pennsylvania is considered to be a perennial swing state, including in the 2020 presidential election. Pennsylvanias demographic makeup has not altered dramatically in just four short years. The analysis that suggests political, cultural and demographic differences between the states is more accurate when applied to smaller geographical areas. Rural Clinton County, near State College, is the most politically balanced county, with 43 percent Republicans and 43 percent Democrats. [12] The 2000 election was not the first during which the news media used colored maps to depict voter preferences in the various states, but it was the first time the current red-blue terminology was used. Georgia: Red, blue or purple? The lack of clear classes make these purple maps prone to the problems of color perception described above. Pennsylvania's median household income falls in the middle of the pack. Connecticut, Maryland, Delaware, New York and Pennsylvaniaare also among the ten densest states in the US. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee alluded to the color scheme when it launched a national Red to Blue Program in 2006. Given the general nature and common perception of the two parties, "red state" implies a conservative region or a more conservative American, and "blue state" implies a more liberal region or a more liberal American. With 100% of precincts reporting, Trump won the state with . The 21st-century association of colors in American politics is contrary to the long-standing conventions of political color in most other countries whereby red symbols (such as the red flag or red star) are associated with leftist politics. In Maine, two of the four electoral votes are awarded to the winner of the statewide popular vote and one electoral vote is awarded to the winner in each of the state's two congressional districts. During the 2016 presidential election, two districts (the first and second) gave Clinton over 80% and 90% of the vote. The Democratic or Republican party of a particular state may have policies that departsometimes greatlyfrom those of the national party, sometimes causing that state to favor one party in state and local elections and the other in presidential elections. Pennsylvania was one of the most closely watched states throughout the 2020 election. Two counties flipped from red to blue: Erie, in Pennsylvania's northwestern corner, and Northampton, in eastern Pennsylvania. We may be entering the brief "blue mirage" portion of the night, where Biden deceptively looks like he's doing well because counties first report the mail ballots they've been counting all day, and Biden supporters disproportionately voted by mail. The most significant difference between blue and red states occurred from late June to early August. But registration figures vary greatly by county. A 2021 poll found that 52% of Trump voters and 41% of Biden voters support partitioning the United States into multiple countries based on political party lines. Purple haze Pa.: Why the Keystone State is always a presidential battleground. [37][38] Nearly half of U.S. voters resided in counties that voted for George W. Bush or John Kerry by 20 percentage points or more in 2004. When do we get to talk some PENNSYLVANIA :eagles:? We and our partners use data for Personalised ads and content, ad and content measurement, audience insights and product development. Earlier this year, one election official said the rule could result in upwards of 100,000 mail-in ballots being thrown out. What determines a state's "color"? The choices of color and shading likewise affect the map's appearance. Thirty of Penns 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. Below, we've broken out how 16 battleground states voted since 2000 and what the ever-changing Electoral College map could mean going forward. Stay tuned on Nov. 3 for live analysis from our reporters. Please enable JavaScript to properly view our site. The last two elections have seen five states and a district in Maine break their same party streaks. Red States 1 Arizona 1 Alabama 2 California 2 States losing seats included Illinois, Michigan,. To do so, he improved upon Clinton's margins in a range of both. Here's why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. One thing to keep in mind as we've seen Biden's polling numbers vanish in states like Florida and North Carolina: His leads were much larger in Michigan and Wisconsin, and a bit larger in Pennsylvania. Heres why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. Neither party national committee has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. A large county or state in area may have fewer voters than a small one in area, for example. Biden rebuilt the "blue wall" and expanded the map Rust Belt states have been the base of Democrats' electoral map for a generation, but along with winning them back, Biden also expanded the. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee also alluded the color scheme when it launched a national "Red to Blue Program" in 2006. Three Michigan counties flipped from red to blue. Various editorials[43][44] have proposed that states of the U.S. secede and then form federations only with states that have voted for the same political party. Texas was the biggest winner the second-most populous state added two congressional seats, while Florida and North Carolina gained one. Telling tweet from election law expert Rick Hasen: "Biggest surprise of the election watch for me so far: Florida's election administration doesn't make my top 3 of places I'm worried about. Catholic and Protestant Christians were more likely to vote for McCain than for Obama, whereas voters of other faiths, as well as secular atheist and agnostic voters, predominantly favored Obama. [1] NBC newsman David Brinkley famously referred to the 1980 election map outcome showing Republican Ronald Reagan's 44-state landslide in blue as resembling a "suburban swimming pool".[14]. All Rights Reserved. I'm watching to see what happens in Pennsylvania, Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin and the Upper Midwest states which seems to be the most crucial for a potential Trump victory given the recent polling and his path to winning in 2016.I'm also watching to see what emerges as the chief issue for voters: the economy (which historically has favored Trump), or his administration's handling of Covid (where he has been far weaker in the polls). Both provided Obama with double-digit margins of victory over McCain. In the 2000 election, Bush received a smaller share of the popular vote than Al Gore, and four years later defeated John Kerry by this count by less than two and a half percentage points. Youve Read The Last Issue of Intelligence Report, Now What? [18], Thus, red and blue became fixed in the media and in many people's minds, despite the fact that the Democratic and Republican parties had not officially chosen colors. The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. That made a difference in a state that was ultimately decided by roughly 45,000votes. Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. Like around the country, we're seeing. Anita What do you want to know? Colored bars represent electoral votes by party. Where the 'Blue Wall' Was Strongest, and Where Cracks Appeared. McCain got a slight majority (52% to 47%) of households consisting of married couples; Obama led almost 21 (65% to 33%) among unmarried voters. Since a 25-25 tie following the 1992 elections, Republicans have held the Senate in every subsequent election, their power peaking after 2016 with a 34-16 supermajority. What I want to know is the number out of Philly -- what margin is Joe Biden taking out of the state's largest city? Press Enter to view state-level map. Holly Ready to hear what you have to say on Pennsylvania! In 2008, Obama won in Iowa and New Hampshire by more than nine percentage points, and New Mexico by double digits. With proper treatments well known including proper dosages (vs. WHO stating in 1979 the potentially lethal dose of HCQ was 1500-2000 mg then attempted a study at 2400 mg in one day, that was designed to both fail and kill.) [5] However, at that time, a maker of widely-sold maps accompanied them with blue pencils in order to mark Confederate force movements, while red was for the union.[6]. Youve Answered Lifes Questions. However, the fun fact is that neither of the party national committees has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. I think most of these states that we have either red or blue are going to be up for grabs. Election maps often use a two-class color scheme (red and blue), which results in a map that is easy to read but is very generalized. The. 44% of Americans in the South favored secession, with Republican support at 66%; while Democratic support was 47% in the Pacific states.[50][51][52]. Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. That's changed in recent years as political polarization has increased, resulting in red and blue strongholds with bigger victory margins. For example, due to the simultaneous contrast effect, the Bezold effect, and other factors, an area shaded light red surrounded by areas shaded dark red will appear even lighter. Traditionally, the practice of designating a U.S. state as red or blue is based on the first-past-the-post winner-take-all system employed for presidential elections by 48 of the 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. Pennsylvania Joe Biden's projected win in his native state of Pennsylvania put him past the 270 total electoral votes needed to win the presidency. Twenty red states are expected to go for President Donald Trump, and 23 blue states (including DC) are expected to go for former Vice President Joe Biden. Trump:70,760 (61.01%) If Jimmy Carter, the Democratic candidate that year, won a state, it was lit in red whereas if Gerald Ford, the incumbent Republican president, won a state, it was lit in blue. Several incidents will require follow-up byinvestigators. And West Virginia is losing. The four "mega-states" have established rival and increasingly polarized visions of state government-one blue, the other red. Tennessee. The blue states scored better two ways higher overall average rankings vs. red states (No.

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